The global market for risk capital

Interest in the global risk capital markets remains, as indirectly indicated by the fall of the US currency, which has historically acted as a protective tool. US indices are at historical highs, the Chinese market has updated 5-year tops.




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Interest in the global risk capital markets remains, as indirectly indicated by the fall of the US currency, which has historically acted as a protective tool. US indices are at historical highs, the Chinese market has updated 5-year tops. Nevertheless, the growth rate of the leading indicators of the stock market and commodity assets is slowing down, reflecting local overheating.

The Russian stock market, not having managed to really close the gap on the rise of global markets, is falling ahead of the curve. As a matter of fact, the domestic indices have poorly worked out the last wave of growth of global risky assets. The geopolitical discount persists.

In the meantime, the broad-based offensive of stock bears is being held back by progress in agreeing on the US fiscal package; the recovery of consumer and manufacturing activity against the background of the success of the international vaccination program. It seems that most of the positive is already in the current asset price.

Oil prices are running above $61 per barrel of Brent. There are no fundamental factors for the fall. Moreover, the expectations of the development of the trend for the disposal of reserves of raw materials in the United States were met. However, technical overbought signals an increase in the probability of a limited correction in oil futures.

Asian markets

Markets in the Asia-Pacific region are showing some disunity. And the Chinese stock index soared above 5-year highs.

Chinese platforms implemented technical signals at the end of last week. Holding the trend line signaled us about the probability of an early update of the annual peaks. Today, the Shanghai Composite stock index (3,640 p.) exceeded the highs from the beginning of 2016.

The released statistics on inflation in China did not have a negative impact on the sentiment of stock market participants. The consumer price index is below zero, reflecting the full satisfaction of domestic demand due to the record recovery of industrial strength in the country. As Western economies open up and demand in China's foreign markets intensifies, the inflation curve will rise.


The Russian stock market, not having managed to really close the gap on the rise of global markets, is falling ahead of the curve. As a matter of fact, the domestic indices have poorly worked out the last wave of growth of global risky assets. The geopolitical discount persists.

In the meantime, the broad-based offensive of stock bears is being held back by progress in agreeing on the US fiscal package; the recovery of consumer and manufacturing activity against the background of the success of the international vaccination program. It seems that most of the positive is already in the current asset price.

Oil prices are running above $61 per barrel of Brent. There are no fundamental factors for the fall. Moreover, the expectations of the development of the trend for the disposal of reserves of raw materials in the United States were met. However, technical overbought signals an increase in the probability of a limited correction in oil futures.

Asian markets

Markets in the Asia-Pacific region are showing some disunity. And the Chinese stock index soared above 5-year highs.

Chinese platforms implemented technical signals at the end of last week. Holding the trend line signaled us about the probability of an early update of the annual peaks. Today, the Shanghai Composite stock index (3,640 p.) exceeded the highs from the beginning of 2016.

The released statistics on inflation in China did not have a negative impact on the sentiment of stock market participants. The consumer price index is below zero, reflecting the full satisfaction of domestic demand due to the record recovery of industrial strength in the country. As Western economies open up and demand in China's foreign markets intensifies, the inflation curve will rise.


South Korea's Kospi (+0.5%) remains undecided. For the further growth of the country's stock market, weighty arguments are required. First, the stock benchmark has performed the best in the world over the past year, doubling since March. Thus, the technical component of overbought is still on the side of the players on the downside.

Secondly, the fundamentals of the labor market leave much to be desired: the unemployment rate rose to 5.4% — the worst result since 1999. The advance issued to the stock market should be worked out in the real sector of the economy.

Stock indicators

Stock indicators continue to show an increased amplitude of fluctuations. Estimates regarding the volatility of global markets for February are confirmed. Frequent mood changes characterize the presence of uncertainty against the background of local exhaustion of positive emotions and the absence of obvious negative drivers. However, for the Russian market, the dominant factor of exchange rate formation in the coming days is again geopolitics.



The US market is once again approaching historical highs, and the VIX volatility index, after an impressive 60% increase at the end of January, yesterday collapsed into the area of historical averages. The devaluation trend of the US dollar is weakening, reflecting the lack of progress in the US fiscal program.Financial topics are very relevant and at the peak of the rise.You can work and get additional revenue by mastering a few simple steps.For more information, you can also contact the broker deltamarket forex, which has proven itself with good reviews.

Oil has updated its annual highs, approaching the technical gap of mid-February 2020. The medium-term rebound, as expected, turns into a long-term upward movement (more than a year). Support for commodity contracts was provided by the trend towards the utilization of US energy reserves.

Asian markets

The indices of the Asia-Pacific region are characterized by inertia. And the Chinese economy is cooling down.

Chinese platforms do not show increased activity of participants in the exchange process. The Shanghai Composite stock index is trading in the neutral zone. Investors assess the emerging trend of slowing down the growth rate of macro indicators.

Yesterday, the manufacturing PMI, and today the services PMI, reflected the natural fading of the growth momentum after the full recovery of the Chinese economy from the failure reviews of the beginning of 2020. The index of purchasing managers ' sentiment in the services sector fell to 52p in January from 56.3 p, but is still above the 50p threshold separating stagnation from the expansion of the country's manufacturing forces.

Japan's Nikkei is feeling more confident, adding almost a percentage. However, we view the ongoing technical overbought of the stock market as a signal for a future correction.

On the Japanese macro front, the trends are similar to both Chinese and Australian ones — the pace of business recovery is fading amid the exhaustion of the low base effect. However, if the PMI in China is above 50 p., then the Japanese indices will only have to get out of the recession: the PMI for January is 46.1 p.

American sites

The rebound in early February continues. For 2 sessions, the market managed to neutralize almost all the losses of the last weeks of January. On the eve of the leading benchmarks added 1.5%, and today futures for the broad market S&P 500 index added another 0.4%, breaking the mark of 3830 points.

Thus, the players on the rise did not even notice the obstacles at the level of 3800 p., coming very close to the historical peaks. The S&P 500 is less than 1% off its peak. The large-scale buyout of the US market is supporting stock bulls around the world.

In February, there was a sharp change in sentiment in the risk capital markets. The VIX volatility index, which reflects the mood of stock market investors for the next month, is accelerating: if last week there was an unprecedented daily jump in the "fear index" by more than 60%, then by Tuesday's close, the VIX returned to the historical average. It seems that this calmness is imaginary.

The US currency continues to strengthen, and the global devaluation trend is slowing down. The US dollar index (DXY: 91 p.) may also move to 92 p . , putting pressure on the currencies of developing countries.

Interestingly, the protective function of the dollar has now faded into the background. Investors are playing the card of higher corporate profitability, as well as the factor of the delay by state legislators in the adoption of the state support package. The fiscal package fork ($1.9–0.6 trillion) is too broad to assess the impact of state aid on the country's macroeconomic performance. It is worth waiting for the consensus of the authorities.

Raw materials

Oil prices are in the region of annual highs. The day before, futures updated the levels of 11 months ago. The April contract rose above $ 58 for Brent. The benchmarks of the ascending rate have been reached.

Wednesday's trading is without a significant deviation at $57.7. More and more signals are coming about the impending shortage of raw materials, the peak of the gap falls at the end of spring against the backdrop of a recovery in demand and limited supply of resources from the members of the OPEC + alliance.

An additional driver is the emerging trend of utilization of energy reserves in the United States. Thus, according to the API, crude oil reserves decreased by 4.3 million barrels, with a consensus of a slight increase in the indicator. It is also worth waiting for the official data of the Ministry of Energy.

The feeling of constant terror was gone

We asked readers and readers to submit their abortion stories. We wanted to show the spectrum of experience, take abortion out of the taboo realm, and give space to people who were often silenced for fear of stigma.

For some, abortion was a dramatic decision; for others, the worst was an unwanted pregnancy. Some women terminated their pregnancies in the safe conditions of a foreign clinic or at home, others in the Polish underground. Plus, the problem is still in monetary terms.In connection with the quarantine, the question of work is acute,and many move to the online sphere, knowing that you can earn additional income, as deltamarket.net reviews does  many professions in connection with the pandemic were called into question therefore, delving into the it sphere, you can quickly and easily understand the principle of operation.

Today we publish several completely different stories about women who have decided to terminate a pregnancy. They tell me m.in. about what an unwanted pregnancy was for them, why they decided to terminate it and what they think about their decision today.

Renata: my husband, a Catholic fundamentalist, oddly enough agreed
My abortion took place 35 years ago, at a time when the so-called "abortion compromise" did not yet exist, and it could be done legally. I was then 21 years old and a 3-month-old girl.
The first pregnancy was unsuccessful. Now I don't know why I didn't protect myself from the other.

I was horrified to discover that I was pregnant. I had a rapist husband who I divorced 5 years later.

I had no hesitation-abortion, there is no other way out. No apartment, no help, no job, no money, and a mean husband. He was an insanely religious Catholic fundamentalist, but oddly enough, he agreed after a short resistance. Probably happy with this decision.

I had an abortion in a hospital in Poznan on Polevaya Street. Quickly, without much emotion. I felt relieved and happy. I never regretted it. A few years later, I had another baby girl. Then, until the end of my fertility, I had an IUD.

I recently told my daughters about my abortion, of course. The second husband also knows. But no one else, I'm afraid of the assessment of Catholics. I saw the horror that came over Natalie Visitor when she told me about her abortion.

I don't know anyone else who would confess. I never had any injury, as they sometimes say. I think that over time, abortion will be in demand. To.

Sandra: I wouldn't love that child

I had an abortion about 2 years ago when I was 25. I got pregnant by my boyfriend during a trip with friends. Too much booze, we didn't provide for ourselves properly. I learned about the pregnancy at 8. week.

The two dashes on the test were like a bolt from the blue. I got hysterical, couldn't catch my breath, cried and screamed. The guy tried to calm me down, comfort me, but it didn't help.

We were together for 4 years, lived in a rented apartment, I had problems at work, he barely found her, we were planning a wedding. I didn't see a place for a child in our world, certainly not then. i didn't feel ready either psychologically or financially. i was terrified.

I immediately began to find out what are the possibilities of termination of pregnancy. From completely "home" (such as herbs that cause miscarriage), which, however, are ineffective and dangerous, up to pharmacological ones.

I ended up on the Women on Web site, which helps people in my situation. I filled out a questionnaire, collected money, and exchanged a few letters to find out more. I was about 10. the week the pills came in. I read the instructions, talked to the guy. I explained to him the reasons for my decision. He supported me, but it was my decision, only mine.

The procedure went without complications, a few hours, and everything was over, the contractions stopped. I felt free. For the first time since the day I found out about the pregnancy, I slept all night, didn't cry, wasn't afraid. The feeling of constant terror was gone.

To be sure, I did a pregnancy test, and it came out negative. It was the best news of recent weeks. I was very happy.

Looking back, I know I don't regret it. it was the best decision i could have made at the time, and i'm glad i did. i am very grateful that in poland there are foundations like women on web, abortion without borders or abortion dream team. As long as the law in our country is what it is, they are very necessary.

I know that if i had been forced to give birth, i would not have loved this child. i would blame them for buried plans and dreams. I think I did the right thing. not only for yourself and your relationships, but also for the fetus that would become an unloved, rejected child.

I think that maybe one day I will decide to have a baby. Although I still hesitate whether I should bring someone into this sick world. Perhaps my fiance and I will consider adoption.

Ula: In case the pills don't come, I already had a line
Raising and developing children has been my hobby since I graduated from elementary school. i read books, blogs and news about montessori ,nvc [ed. the method of nonviolent communication] and parental intimacy. I took care of my friends ' children and volunteered. However, or perhaps it is the approach to the topic from the side of facts, it does not mythologize the fruit. I had an abortion without remorse.

I was stuck in a violent relationship at the time, I was a little ahead of the graduates. i had a late period, my boobs grew, and after 2 weeks of waiting for my period, i threw up. fortunately, my mother, who was raised in a catholic ideology and believes in nonsense like "you screwed up, you'll suffer the consequences", did not notice anything.

The next morning I did a test, and even then I knew that the baby would not be there. I didn't even dream about it in such conditions. I still feel joy when I remember the moment when I found help on the Internet. In case the pills didn't come, I chose a hidden spot in the park and in the hardware store.

Yes, I was thinking about suicide. The only thing I saw in the future then was the shadow of patus that I would have to deal with over parental rights and my mother's spiteful comments: Why did you get involved with a child with a jerk?

Fortunately, I always kept a couple of hundred " on loan." I don't remember when the pills came-a week or two later, but I was in my ninth week. I took Mifepristone right away. The next day, misoprostol. The massacre began.

Then I went to the guy who knew everything. When the contractions started, I thought I was going to pass out. I spent the next few hours in bed. I threw up and had a rash on my face. The pills didn't help much with the pain, but I survived.

After someone went to the toilet, the fetus fell out. The pain then went away completely. After 2 hours, I think the placenta fell out. I got home just before midnight, and I had a period of 2 weeks.